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Red315
5183104.1
5086134.5
6122144.6
Blue276
6075105.9
5424143.3
1596137.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853060100200400500600700315276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6122
#12
144.63.5
130.2133.7
Auto16.0
Teleop106.0
End25.9
red by 1.4
5424
#21
143.31.3
141.1142.4
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
Second
5086
#14
134.52.4
126.8129.2
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1
blue by 2.8
137.32.4
128.4130.9
Auto18.6
Teleop105.1
End14.6
Third
5183
#31
104.10.4
101.6102.0
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
blue by 1.7
6075
#38
105.93.1
112.6109.5
Auto15.8
Teleop79.6
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed