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Red81
6627111.1
4956114.6
550496.9
Blue378
1896116.2
6100153.4
6112134.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23232210020040050060081378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#33
114.62.3
115.2117.6
Auto15.4
Teleop90.9
End6.8
blue by 38.8
153.43.4
143.2146.5
Auto16.8
Teleop120.5
End14.0
Second
6627
#39
111.12.5
109.4111.9
Auto12.9
Teleop88.8
End9.0
blue by 23.1
134.21.3
121.6122.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
Third
5504
#25
96.91.3
100.799.4
Auto16.0
Teleop76.1
End6.1
blue by 19.2
1896
#17
116.20.5
112.3112.8
Auto14.9
Teleop89.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed