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Red176
7155125.3
6627111.1
5086134.5
Blue245
6100153.4
7160104.7
6066110.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276279200250300350400176245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#14
134.51.0
132.0133.0
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1
blue by 18.9
153.41.3
150.4151.8
Auto16.8
Teleop120.5
End14.0
Second
7155
#18
125.31.5
128.2126.7
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End16.0
red by 14.9
6066
#35
110.42.3
114.3112.0
Auto13.4
Teleop89.1
End6.3
Third
6627
#39
111.10.1
111.7111.6
Auto12.9
Teleop88.8
End9.0
red by 6.4
7160
#32
104.71.2
106.7105.5
Auto14.4
Teleop84.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed