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Red340
3767135.5
1896116.2
4398124.9
Blue218
6005115.2
3618130.2
3688159.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281318100200400500340218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.52.6
126.7129.3
Auto15.9
Teleop105.9
End14.4
blue by 24.1
3688
#11
159.70.5
159.3159.9
Auto22.8
Teleop121.5
End13.8
Second
4398
#24
124.90.9
122.6123.5
Auto13.9
Teleop93.0
End17.9
blue by 5.3
3618
#23
130.21.3
133.6132.2
Auto16.7
Teleop100.6
End10.6
Third
1896
#17
116.20.4
114.7115.1
Auto14.9
Teleop89.6
End8.8
red by 0.9
6005
#16
115.20.3
115.5115.2
Auto12.5
Teleop89.5
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed