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Red268
4983143.3
6552102.3
6112134.2
Blue292
1918196.6
556299.2
5183104.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299325100200400500600268292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.33.9
135.1139.0
Auto18.4
Teleop110.2
End18.6
blue by 53.3
196.64.1
184.6188.7
Auto20.8
Teleop147.0
End28.6
Second
134.23.1
125.4128.5
Auto17.9
Teleop104.2
End12.0
red by 30.1
5183
#31
104.10.4
103.4103.8
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
Third
6552
#37
102.30.3
101.5101.8
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End17.3
red by 3.0
5562
#36
99.21.6
102.3100.7
Auto11.7
Teleop78.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed