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Red327
4392159.0
6100153.4
3688159.7
Blue214
6550122.0
6552102.3
5424143.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4161960100300500600700327214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#11
159.70.0
159.9159.9
Auto22.8
Teleop121.5
End13.8
red by 16.4
5424
#21
143.30.7
143.6142.9
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
Second
159.02.6
153.8156.4
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
red by 37.0
6550
#26
122.01.2
123.2122.0
Auto13.0
Teleop100.8
End9.5
Third
153.40.9
151.8152.7
Auto16.8
Teleop120.5
End14.0
red by 51.1
6552
#37
102.30.5
101.8102.3
Auto13.0
Teleop75.4
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed