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Red350
6005115.2
5086134.5
4376131.9
Blue281
6087147.4
7155125.3
6122144.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278344100200400500600350281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#14
134.50.2
133.0133.2
Auto13.5
Teleop104.3
End18.1
blue by 12.8
147.41.5
143.3144.7
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
Second
4376
#19
131.91.5
129.0130.5
Auto14.0
Teleop103.8
End14.9
blue by 12.7
6122
#12
144.62.3
140.8143.2
Auto16.0
Teleop106.0
End25.9
Third
6005
#16
115.20.5
115.2114.7
Auto12.5
Teleop89.5
End14.4
blue by 10.1
7155
#18
125.31.4
126.7125.3
Auto15.8
Teleop92.1
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed