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Semifinal 2-22018 FIM District Traverse City Event
Red359
4392159.0
6100153.4
5183104.1
Blue212
1711133.1
6087147.4
5424143.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3243040100200400500600700359212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#3
159.00.4
158.3→158.6
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
red by 11.6
6087
#9
147.40.4
145.9→146.2
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
Second
6100
#2
153.40.1
153.2→153.3
Auto16.8
Teleop120.5
End14.0
red by 10.1
5424
#21
143.30.1
143.0→143.1
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
Third
5183
#31
104.10.0
104.0→104.0
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
blue by 29.0
1711
#29
133.10.5
130.9→131.4
Auto15.0
Teleop106.9
End13.5