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Red259
4392159.0
6100153.4
5183104.1
Blue396
1711133.1
6087147.4
5424143.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302970100200400500600259396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.00.4
158.6159.0
Auto14.6
Teleop124.9
End20.2
red by 11.6
147.40.3
146.2146.5
Auto18.5
Teleop107.1
End23.0
Second
153.40.1
153.3153.4
Auto16.8
Teleop120.5
End14.0
red by 10.1
5424
#21
143.30.0
143.1143.1
Auto19.7
Teleop106.9
End16.7
Third
5183
#31
104.10.1
104.0104.1
Auto12.0
Teleop80.4
End11.9
blue by 29.0
1711
#29
133.10.4
131.4131.9
Auto15.0
Teleop106.9
End13.5