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Red284
68157.4
6117136.7
3539149.6
Blue357
3668153.2
5674176.1
5662110.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622500100200300400500600284357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#8
157.410.9
114.9125.8
Auto22.4
Teleop113.8
End23.4
blue by 18.7
176.19.4
101.3110.7
Auto18.9
Teleop129.6
End24.8
Second
3539
#17
149.610.6
119.7130.3
Auto20.4
Teleop109.3
End21.2
blue by 3.6
3668
#18
153.28.2
110.0118.2
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End20.3
Third
6117
#23
136.78.7
108.9117.5
Auto19.0
Teleop102.2
End16.2
red by 25.9
5662
#39
110.713.1
84.097.1
Auto14.9
Teleop87.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed