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Red281
6344126.3
1076118.6
2851143.7
Blue166
7220107.4
4779134.6
5517158.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317291100200400500600281166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.710.8
103.7114.6
Auto18.0
Teleop108.7
End16.7
blue by 14.8
158.50.7
141.7142.5
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
Second
6344
#32
126.37.8
121.8129.6
Auto16.3
Teleop99.2
End10.4
blue by 8.3
4779
#11
134.69.6
106.3115.9
Auto19.5
Teleop99.5
End16.2
Third
1076
#28
118.67.1
96.5103.6
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End17.8
red by 11.2
7220
#35
107.411.6
77.789.4
Auto14.9
Teleop83.4
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed