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Red306
5907157.4
6091107.9
240108.1
Blue167
313108.1
4390108.5
5263141.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275275180220260280300306167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.411.4
104.2115.6
Auto20.7
Teleop121.2
End14.1
red by 16.4
5263
#16
141.00.2
129.5129.3
Auto22.4
Teleop105.6
End12.7
Second
240
#20
108.16.2
92.298.4
Auto15.2
Teleop82.1
End10.4
blue by 0.4
4390
#36
108.512.4
84.997.2
Auto14.7
Teleop83.1
End13.3
Third
6091
#24
107.91.9
94.196.1
Auto12.6
Teleop80.8
End15.7
blue by 0.3
313
#22
108.111.2
76.887.9
Auto14.5
Teleop83.8
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed