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Red442
5674176.1
468123.0
5263141.0
Blue268
6019120.6
2137149.2
6877112.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301296250350400442268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.18.8
110.7119.5
Auto18.9
Teleop129.6
End24.8
red by 26.9
2137
#27
149.24.3
128.2132.6
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End23.1
Second
5263
#16
141.00.8
129.3128.5
Auto22.4
Teleop105.6
End12.7
red by 20.4
6019
#21
120.65.9
97.1103.0
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End10.4
Third
468
#33
123.00.4
118.7118.3
Auto15.6
Teleop88.5
End17.6
red by 10.4
6877
#29
112.51.8
115.2113.4
Auto14.1
Teleop84.9
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed