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Red166
7109105.5
5860128.1
7220107.4
Blue412
240108.1
4130159.4
5155176.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173350100300400500600166412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5860
#30
128.14.7
107.7112.5
Auto15.0
Teleop94.0
End19.9
blue by 48.4
176.58.9
127.4136.3
Auto21.1
Teleop128.5
End25.6
Second
7220
#35
107.45.0
89.494.3
Auto14.9
Teleop83.4
End11.0
blue by 51.9
159.46.9
112.2119.1
Auto17.6
Teleop125.4
End18.1
Third
7109
#31
105.59.1
88.998.0
Auto13.8
Teleop83.3
End11.4
blue by 2.6
240
#20
108.15.8
98.4104.3
Auto15.2
Teleop82.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed