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Red157
6019120.6
6117136.7
5662110.7
Blue232
1250138.6
703137.1
5229124.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271317100200400500157232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6117
#23
136.73.2
123.0126.2
Auto19.0
Teleop102.2
End16.2
blue by 2.0
1250
#12
138.65.7
122.3128.0
Auto20.9
Teleop106.1
End10.6
Second
6019
#21
120.64.6
103.0107.6
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End10.4
blue by 16.5
703
#19
137.12.8
117.3120.1
Auto21.5
Teleop99.4
End17.2
Third
5662
#39
110.75.7
108.3113.9
Auto14.9
Teleop87.0
End8.8
blue by 13.9
5229
#25
124.64.6
115.6120.2
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed