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Red309
1139.7
5674176.1
313108.1
Blue81
6344126.3
5048130.4
7109105.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25330610020040050030981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.19.6
119.5129.1
Auto18.9
Teleop129.6
End24.8
red by 45.7
5048
#26
130.46.1
132.0138.1
Auto17.9
Teleop102.3
End12.3
Second
1
#13
139.71.3
137.4136.2
Auto15.9
Teleop115.8
End7.4
red by 13.4
6344
#32
126.30.0
134.4134.4
Auto16.3
Teleop99.2
End10.4
Third
313
#22
108.10.5
93.494.0
Auto14.5
Teleop83.8
End13.0
red by 2.7
7109
#31
105.54.0
98.0102.0
Auto13.8
Teleop83.3
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed