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Qual 242018 FIM District Waterford Event
Red455
3539149.6
3668153.2
201151.4
Blue202
4779134.6
240108.1
1076118.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492290100200300400500600455202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#18
153.27.4
126.2→133.5
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End20.3
red by 18.7
4779
#11
134.60.6
119.5→120.1
Auto19.5
Teleop99.5
End16.2
Second
201
#6
151.43.1
124.8→127.8
Auto19.3
Teleop111.4
End22.1
red by 32.8
1076
#28
118.61.2
107.9→109.1
Auto15.0
Teleop87.0
End17.8
Third
3539
#17
149.62.3
137.0→139.3
Auto20.4
Teleop109.3
End21.2
red by 41.5
240
#20
108.14.6
104.3→108.8
Auto15.2
Teleop82.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed