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Red233
3770166.0
6642107.3
6091107.9
Blue428
2137149.2
4130159.4
4961159.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224360100300400500600233428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#10
166.05.1
131.7136.9
Auto19.6
Teleop120.2
End29.0
red by 6.5
159.66.9
130.6137.4
Auto24.0
Teleop120.5
End12.7
Second
6091
#24
107.91.2
98.299.4
Auto12.6
Teleop80.8
End15.7
blue by 51.5
159.45.4
119.1124.5
Auto17.6
Teleop125.4
End18.1
Third
6642
#40
107.30.1
102.4102.5
Auto16.2
Teleop80.4
End5.3
blue by 41.9
2137
#27
149.23.7
132.6136.2
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed