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Red295
3668153.2
724796.1
4390108.5
Blue390
6093120.3
4130159.4
5517158.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266339100200300400500295390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#18
153.23.3
149.1152.4
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End20.3
blue by 6.2
159.44.2
140.8145.0
Auto17.6
Teleop125.4
End18.1
Second
4390
#36
108.50.9
110.9110.0
Auto14.7
Teleop83.1
End13.3
blue by 50.0
158.51.7
145.8147.5
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
Third
7247
#37
96.11.0
99.2100.2
Auto15.6
Teleop78.7
End2.4
blue by 24.2
6093
#38
120.30.6
115.0115.6
Auto16.5
Teleop90.0
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed