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Red154
240108.1
5860128.1
1250138.6
Blue433
201151.4
4779134.6
5674176.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259381100200300500600154433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
#12
138.63.6
136.5140.1
Auto20.9
Teleop106.1
End10.6
blue by 37.4
176.15.9
152.0158.0
Auto18.9
Teleop129.6
End24.8
Second
5860
#30
128.14.3
121.6125.9
Auto15.0
Teleop94.0
End19.9
blue by 23.3
201
#6
151.43.1
141.5144.6
Auto19.3
Teleop111.4
End22.1
Third
240
#20
108.11.2
108.4107.2
Auto15.2
Teleop82.1
End10.4
blue by 26.5
4779
#11
134.62.1
122.3124.4
Auto19.5
Teleop99.5
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed