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Red281
3539149.6
4390108.5
5860128.1
Blue458
5517158.5
2137149.2
6642107.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321320200250300350400450281458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#17
149.61.9
143.0144.9
Auto20.4
Teleop109.3
End21.2
blue by 8.9
158.52.0
147.5149.5
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
Second
5860
#30
128.10.9
125.9126.8
Auto15.0
Teleop94.0
End19.9
blue by 21.1
2137
#27
149.20.4
148.2147.7
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End23.1
Third
4390
#36
108.50.6
110.0109.4
Auto14.7
Teleop83.1
End13.3
red by 1.2
6642
#40
107.30.8
104.1105.0
Auto16.2
Teleop80.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed