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Red265
201151.4
1250138.6
5048130.4
Blue295
703137.1
7109105.5
4130159.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343259100200300400500265295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#6
151.42.7
144.6147.3
Auto19.3
Teleop111.4
End22.1
blue by 7.9
159.44.3
145.0149.3
Auto17.6
Teleop125.4
End18.1
Second
1250
#12
138.60.4
140.1140.4
Auto20.9
Teleop106.1
End10.6
red by 1.5
703
#19
137.11.9
126.4128.2
Auto21.5
Teleop99.4
End17.2
Third
5048
#26
130.40.6
133.9133.2
Auto17.9
Teleop102.3
End12.3
red by 24.9
7109
#31
105.51.0
99.099.9
Auto13.8
Teleop83.3
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed