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Red311
5860128.1
6093120.3
2137149.2
Blue413
5674176.1
5053148.8
703137.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263401100200300500600700311413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#27
149.20.6
147.7148.4
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End23.1
blue by 26.9
176.14.9
162.6167.5
Auto18.9
Teleop129.6
End24.8
Second
5860
#30
128.10.5
126.8127.3
Auto15.0
Teleop94.0
End19.9
blue by 20.7
5053
#14
148.80.8
145.9145.1
Auto18.3
Teleop112.3
End19.6
Third
6093
#38
120.31.4
117.3118.8
Auto16.5
Teleop90.0
End15.0
blue by 16.9
703
#19
137.12.7
128.2131.0
Auto21.5
Teleop99.4
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed