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Red326
3770166.0
3539149.6
4779134.6
Blue365
6019120.6
3668153.2
5907157.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352307100200400500326365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#10
166.03.5
155.2158.6
Auto19.6
Teleop120.2
End29.0
red by 8.6
157.42.3
149.2151.5
Auto20.7
Teleop121.2
End14.1
Second
3539
#17
149.61.1
144.9145.9
Auto20.4
Teleop109.3
End21.2
blue by 3.6
3668
#18
153.20.3
154.5154.2
Auto18.1
Teleop113.3
End20.3
Third
4779
#11
134.61.3
126.5127.8
Auto19.5
Teleop99.5
End16.2
red by 14.0
6019
#21
120.60.1
119.0118.9
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed