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Qual 642018 FIM District Waterford Event
Red391
4961159.6
2851143.7
240108.1
Blue251
5048130.4
6877112.5
5229124.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339258100200300400500600391251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4961
#9
159.60.3
158.9→158.6
Auto24.0
Teleop120.5
End12.7
red by 29.2
5048
#26
130.41.6
133.2→131.7
Auto17.9
Teleop102.3
End12.3
Second
2851
#3
143.71.9
135.7→137.7
Auto18.0
Teleop108.7
End16.7
red by 19.0
5229
#25
124.60.1
125.8→125.7
Auto17.3
Teleop90.0
End15.9
Third
240
#20
108.10.1
104.8→105.0
Auto15.2
Teleop82.1
End10.4
blue by 4.4
6877
#29
112.50.2
111.4→111.6
Auto14.1
Teleop84.9
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed