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Red215
6093120.3
4961159.6
4390108.5
Blue344
7220107.4
3539149.6
6019120.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325292100200400500600215344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.61.2
158.6159.8
Auto24.0
Teleop120.5
End12.7
red by 9.9
3539
#17
149.61.2
145.9147.2
Auto20.4
Teleop109.3
End21.2
Second
6093
#38
120.31.4
118.8120.1
Auto16.5
Teleop90.0
End15.0
blue by 0.3
6019
#21
120.60.5
118.9119.4
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End10.4
Third
4390
#36
108.50.3
108.9109.1
Auto14.7
Teleop83.1
End13.3
red by 1.1
7220
#35
107.40.7
105.3106.1
Auto14.9
Teleop83.4
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed