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Red219
5155176.5
5662110.7
1139.7
Blue300
2851143.7
4130159.4
5263141.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330335250300350400450219300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.51.9
175.0176.9
Auto21.1
Teleop128.5
End25.6
red by 17.1
159.42.5
153.5156.0
Auto17.6
Teleop125.4
End18.1
Second
1
#13
139.71.0
138.2139.3
Auto15.9
Teleop115.8
End7.4
blue by 4.0
143.72.6
137.7140.3
Auto18.0
Teleop108.7
End16.7
Third
5662
#39
110.70.9
112.8111.9
Auto14.9
Teleop87.0
End8.8
blue by 30.3
5263
#16
141.01.4
137.8139.2
Auto22.4
Teleop105.6
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed