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Red442
68157.4
240108.1
5517158.5
Blue265
6117136.7
3770166.0
468123.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33933202004006008001,000442265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.51.7
151.6153.3
Auto18.6
Teleop112.7
End27.5
blue by 7.5
3770
#10
166.02.8
158.6161.5
Auto19.6
Teleop120.2
End29.0
Second
68
#8
157.40.8
152.0152.8
Auto22.4
Teleop113.8
End23.4
red by 20.8
6117
#23
136.71.4
132.3133.7
Auto19.0
Teleop102.2
End16.2
Third
240
#20
108.11.4
105.0106.3
Auto15.2
Teleop82.1
End10.4
blue by 14.9
468
#33
123.00.2
123.0123.1
Auto15.6
Teleop88.5
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed