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Red380
703137.1
2851143.7
6019120.6
Blue271
2137149.2
5155176.5
7109105.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304353100200400500600380271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.71.6
140.3141.9
Auto18.0
Teleop108.7
End16.7
blue by 32.9
176.50.7
176.9177.6
Auto21.1
Teleop128.5
End25.6
Second
703
#19
137.12.6
131.0133.5
Auto21.5
Teleop99.4
End17.2
blue by 12.0
2137
#27
149.20.8
148.4149.2
Auto19.7
Teleop107.8
End23.1
Third
6019
#21
120.61.2
119.4120.6
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End10.4
red by 15.1
7109
#31
105.51.9
103.1105.0
Auto13.8
Teleop83.3
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed