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Red404
6098125.4
3458104.7
4004137.0
Blue140
2054136.9
5316110.2
5622112.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623210100200400500600700800404140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#15
137.00.4
120.4120.7
Auto16.2
Teleop108.1
End14.3
red by 0.1
2054
#27
136.96.9
126.3133.2
Auto14.8
Teleop102.5
End20.3
Second
6098
#14
125.45.6
118.0123.5
Auto17.4
Teleop93.0
End17.2
red by 12.7
5622
#33
112.77.9
100.8108.7
Auto15.7
Teleop87.0
End8.7
Third
3458
#39
104.76.4
97.0103.4
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End12.2
blue by 5.5
5316
#30
110.23.8
105.5109.3
Auto16.8
Teleop83.1
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed