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Red379
4956154.0
2075162.5
6114116.6
Blue107
4003193.7
5473105.3
6094116.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913160200400600800379107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#11
162.50.3
151.2150.8
Auto22.6
Teleop126.0
End13.3
blue by 31.2
193.71.7
184.4186.1
Auto24.9
Teleop151.2
End19.4
Second
4956
#21
154.01.5
139.7141.2
Auto22.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
red by 37.8
6094
#20
116.20.9
120.2119.3
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End15.9
Third
6114
#38
116.66.9
101.6108.6
Auto16.6
Teleop88.6
End14.5
red by 11.3
5473
#16
105.35.7
91.997.6
Auto17.0
Teleop83.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed