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Red443
141154.7
3620176.1
7054133.1
Blue278
5470117.5
85194.0
3546177.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328315200250300350400450443278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.11.4
157.7159.2
Auto23.4
Teleop135.3
End18.2
blue by 17.9
85
#1
194.00.3
181.5181.2
Auto24.8
Teleop142.5
End28.3
Second
141
#5
154.70.7
145.1145.8
Auto21.5
Teleop122.4
End12.4
blue by 22.7
177.41.1
162.7163.8
Auto24.9
Teleop131.9
End24.0
Third
7054
#19
133.10.4
132.6132.3
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End14.5
red by 15.6
5470
#31
117.54.2
99.1103.3
Auto15.0
Teleop85.6
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed