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Red243
5610111.7
4956154.0
107155.1
Blue435
6122151.8
4003193.7
6548171.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271408100200300500600243435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#13
155.10.4
149.2149.5
Auto22.8
Teleop116.4
End17.3
blue by 38.6
193.70.8
186.2187.0
Auto24.9
Teleop151.2
End19.4
Second
4956
#21
154.02.7
145.5148.2
Auto22.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
blue by 17.9
6548
#22
171.90.5
166.6167.2
Auto21.1
Teleop122.5
End27.0
Third
5610
#37
111.71.1
111.7112.8
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End7.7
blue by 40.1
6122
#35
151.80.3
146.2145.9
Auto16.2
Teleop113.5
End20.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed