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Red214
74160.2
7054133.1
2075162.5
Blue350
2405123.4
4004137.0
3098178.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336305150200250400450500550214350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#11
162.51.7
152.0153.7
Auto22.6
Teleop126.0
End13.3
blue by 15.8
178.30.4
170.7170.3
Auto19.8
Teleop136.8
End25.4
Second
74
#12
160.20.9
147.7148.6
Auto20.8
Teleop122.7
End17.4
red by 23.3
4004
#15
137.02.0
122.7124.7
Auto16.2
Teleop108.1
End14.3
Third
7054
#19
133.10.8
132.8131.9
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End14.5
red by 9.7
2405
#17
123.41.4
109.1110.6
Auto15.0
Teleop89.0
End22.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed