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Red271
5622112.7
6065129.9
6128113.2
Blue332
3546177.4
5162126.1
6094116.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193830100300500271332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6065
#32
129.94.1
115.3119.3
Auto19.6
Teleop95.4
End15.9
blue by 47.5
177.42.3
166.1168.5
Auto24.9
Teleop131.9
End24.0
Second
6128
#23
113.21.0
106.7107.7
Auto18.7
Teleop80.4
End15.0
blue by 12.9
5162
#25
126.10.6
135.7136.3
Auto19.0
Teleop91.9
End11.9
Third
5622
#33
112.71.9
113.6111.7
Auto15.7
Teleop87.0
End8.7
blue by 3.5
6094
#20
116.20.5
116.1115.6
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed