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Red355
4337119.4
5316110.2
5675166.3
Blue310
3572136.5
5963117.7
5980157.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285322150200250300350400450355310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.31.6
161.1162.7
Auto23.7
Teleop125.6
End17.8
red by 8.6
157.70.2
146.1146.2
Auto24.3
Teleop110.5
End23.4
Second
4337
#18
119.41.0
117.9118.9
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End12.4
blue by 17.1
3572
#10
136.52.5
123.7126.2
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End14.0
Third
5316
#30
110.23.4
109.8106.4
Auto16.8
Teleop83.1
End11.3
blue by 7.6
5963
#34
117.75.9
112.1117.9
Auto15.9
Teleop85.9
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed