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Red406
5610111.7
74160.2
141154.7
Blue250
5622112.7
6531108.0
4956154.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312750100200400500600406250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#12
160.20.1
148.6148.7
Auto20.8
Teleop122.7
End17.4
red by 6.3
4956
#21
154.02.0
148.2150.2
Auto22.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
Second
141
#5
154.70.8
148.3149.1
Auto21.5
Teleop122.4
End12.4
red by 42.0
5622
#33
112.70.3
111.7112.0
Auto15.7
Teleop87.0
End8.7
Third
5610
#37
111.70.7
112.8113.5
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End7.7
red by 3.7
6531
#26
108.01.7
100.1101.9
Auto14.3
Teleop86.2
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed