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Red315
5980157.7
3098178.3
3458104.7
Blue428
85194.0
5255111.9
6043140.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306323150200250350400450315428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.30.2
170.3170.5
Auto19.8
Teleop136.8
End25.4
blue by 15.7
85
#1
194.00.9
181.2182.1
Auto24.8
Teleop142.5
End28.3
Second
157.70.3
146.2146.5
Auto24.3
Teleop110.5
End23.4
red by 17.3
140.30.1
136.4136.5
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End20.8
Third
3458
#39
104.73.2
109.1105.9
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End12.2
blue by 7.2
5255
#24
111.90.2
105.5105.6
Auto14.5
Teleop86.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed