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Red268
5162126.1
4004137.0
6065129.9
Blue387
4003193.7
6114116.6
4337119.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274342100200300400500600268387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4004
#15
137.02.1
124.7126.8
Auto16.2
Teleop108.1
End14.3
blue by 56.8
193.71.1
187.0188.1
Auto24.9
Teleop151.2
End19.4
Second
6065
#32
129.92.2
123.7125.8
Auto19.6
Teleop95.4
End15.9
red by 10.5
4337
#18
119.42.0
118.9120.9
Auto15.8
Teleop90.1
End12.4
Third
5162
#25
126.10.9
136.3137.2
Auto19.0
Teleop91.9
End11.9
red by 9.5
6114
#38
116.61.0
112.7111.7
Auto16.6
Teleop88.6
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed