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Red394
6128113.2
6122151.8
2405123.4
Blue185
141154.7
566499.2
6098125.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803250100200400500600700394185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6122
#35
151.80.7
146.1146.8
Auto16.2
Teleop113.5
End20.6
blue by 2.9
141
#5
154.71.4
149.1150.5
Auto21.5
Teleop122.4
End12.4
Second
2405
#17
123.41.1
112.2113.2
Auto15.0
Teleop89.0
End22.3
blue by 2.1
6098
#14
125.40.2
127.2127.5
Auto17.4
Teleop93.0
End17.2
Third
6128
#23
113.20.9
109.0109.9
Auto18.7
Teleop80.4
End15.0
red by 13.9
5664
#40
99.21.6
110.9109.3
Auto16.5
Teleop74.7
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed