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Red355
6114116.6
74160.2
6531108.0
Blue331
3458104.7
6128113.2
6548171.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309308200250350400355331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#12
160.21.6
149.6151.1
Auto20.8
Teleop122.7
End17.4
blue by 11.7
6548
#22
171.90.4
169.4169.8
Auto21.1
Teleop122.5
End27.0
Second
6114
#38
116.61.0
111.7112.7
Auto16.6
Teleop88.6
End14.5
red by 3.4
6128
#23
113.21.7
109.9111.6
Auto18.7
Teleop80.4
End15.0
Third
6531
#26
108.01.3
103.3104.6
Auto14.3
Teleop86.2
End9.7
red by 3.3
3458
#39
104.70.3
105.6105.3
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed