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Red261
107155.1
5470117.5
5162126.1
Blue331
141154.7
6043140.3
5473105.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291333100150200250400450500261331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#13
155.11.2
151.1152.3
Auto22.8
Teleop116.4
End17.3
red by 0.4
141
#5
154.71.2
150.8152.0
Auto21.5
Teleop122.4
End12.4
Second
5162
#25
126.14.4
135.3130.9
Auto19.0
Teleop91.9
End11.9
blue by 14.3
140.31.5
137.7139.2
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End20.8
Third
5470
#31
117.52.1
113.8116.0
Auto15.0
Teleop85.6
End18.6
red by 12.3
5473
#16
105.31.6
102.9104.5
Auto17.0
Teleop83.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed