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Red417
5255111.9
2405123.4
4003193.7
Blue203
6114116.6
5470117.5
6122151.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369264100200300400500600417203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.70.1
191.6191.7
Auto24.9
Teleop151.2
End19.4
red by 41.9
6122
#35
151.81.4
150.2151.6
Auto16.2
Teleop113.5
End20.6
Second
2405
#17
123.41.9
117.4119.3
Auto15.0
Teleop89.0
End22.3
red by 5.8
5470
#31
117.51.3
116.0117.3
Auto15.0
Teleop85.6
End18.6
Third
5255
#24
111.91.4
108.7110.1
Auto14.5
Teleop86.3
End14.2
blue by 4.7
6114
#38
116.61.6
114.5116.1
Auto16.6
Teleop88.6
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed