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Red410
6098125.4
7054133.1
5675166.3
Blue173
3620176.1
6043140.3
5610111.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303326150200250350400450500410173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.31.0
166.9165.9
Auto23.7
Teleop125.6
End17.8
blue by 9.8
176.11.7
174.4176.1
Auto23.4
Teleop135.3
End18.2
Second
7054
#19
133.10.4
130.4130.7
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End14.5
blue by 7.2
140.31.3
139.2140.6
Auto17.6
Teleop101.4
End20.8
Third
6098
#14
125.40.6
125.0124.4
Auto17.4
Teleop93.0
End17.2
red by 13.7
5610
#37
111.70.5
115.6115.1
Auto15.5
Teleop85.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed