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Red342
6065129.9
5316110.2
3572136.5
Blue218
566499.2
107155.1
6128113.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392670100200300400500600342218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#10
136.51.8
132.7134.4
Auto17.2
Teleop105.6
End14.0
blue by 18.7
107
#13
155.10.9
152.3153.1
Auto22.8
Teleop116.4
End17.3
Second
6065
#32
129.91.3
127.2128.5
Auto19.6
Teleop95.4
End15.9
red by 16.8
6128
#23
113.20.1
113.4113.3
Auto18.7
Teleop80.4
End15.0
Third
5316
#30
110.21.1
107.9109.0
Auto16.8
Teleop83.1
End11.3
red by 10.9
5664
#40
99.22.2
103.0100.8
Auto16.5
Teleop74.7
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed