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Red445
4004137.0
5980157.7
7054133.1
Blue273
4956154.0
6094116.2
3458104.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373261100200300400500600445273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.71.5
152.5154.0
Auto24.3
Teleop110.5
End23.4
red by 3.7
4956
#21
154.00.1
153.2153.3
Auto22.3
Teleop116.2
End15.3
Second
4004
#15
137.01.4
130.9132.2
Auto16.2
Teleop108.1
End14.3
red by 20.8
6094
#20
116.20.3
116.5116.2
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End15.9
Third
7054
#19
133.11.3
130.7132.0
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End14.5
red by 28.4
3458
#39
104.70.1
104.7104.7
Auto12.9
Teleop79.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed