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Red513
7021159.0
1259170.8
2501130.0
Blue257
2512137.0
5653132.2
4624138.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374273100200500600700513257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.80.9
165.2166.1
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
red by 32.1
4624
#20
138.70.5
137.8138.3
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
Second
159.01.1
152.5153.6
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
red by 22.0
2512
#36
137.00.7
135.6136.4
Auto19.2
Teleop100.4
End20.4
Third
2501
#16
130.01.0
124.1125.1
Auto16.5
Teleop95.9
End18.8
blue by 2.2
5653
#10
132.20.8
130.8131.6
Auto14.3
Teleop103.6
End14.6