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Red383
7021159.0
1259170.8
2501130.0
Blue302
876167.5
4239142.3
5903140.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348319200250300400450500550383302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.81.0
166.9167.9
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
red by 3.3
876
#21
167.50.0
167.5167.5
Auto20.6
Teleop126.8
End18.8
Second
159.01.1
154.6155.7
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
red by 16.7
142.30.5
141.4141.9
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End15.4
Third
2501
#16
130.01.0
126.0127.0
Auto16.5
Teleop95.9
End18.8
blue by 10.8
5903
#28
140.80.7
139.6140.3
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End15.7