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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Northern Lights Regional
Red148
7021159.0
1259170.8
2501130.0
Blue255
2512137.0
5653132.2
4624138.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391273100200500600700148255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#1
170.81.4
163.9→165.2
Auto19.7
Teleop126.9
End25.1
red by 32.1
4624
#20
138.70.6
137.2→137.8
Auto14.3
Teleop107.6
End13.5
Second
7021
#2
159.01.6
151.0→152.5
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
red by 22.0
2512
#36
137.00.9
134.7→135.6
Auto19.2
Teleop100.4
End20.4
Third
2501
#16
130.01.4
122.7→124.1
Auto16.5
Teleop95.9
End18.8
blue by 2.2
5653
#10
132.20.9
129.8→130.8
Auto14.3
Teleop103.6
End14.6