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Red219
5232138.8
3036110.2
3745123.0
Blue399
2509129.9
7021159.0
5434137.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254373100200300500600219399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5232
#43
138.84.5
130.7135.2
Auto14.4
Teleop107.6
End19.1
blue by 20.2
159.06.2
144.7151.0
Auto20.1
Teleop117.5
End20.5
Second
3745
#33
123.01.1
121.9123.0
Auto18.2
Teleop93.8
End10.6
blue by 14.2
5434
#13
137.21.0
135.5136.4
Auto23.5
Teleop101.9
End9.5
Third
3036
#49
110.20.9
111.1110.2
Auto13.6
Teleop86.0
End11.5
blue by 19.7
2509
#35
129.91.7
128.3129.9
Auto17.0
Teleop90.7
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed